its going to take a consumer reports test of everything on the market to clear out the real trash.
Consumer reports tests things out of the box. If an item performs well for the 1st week it may get a good report. Unless they are aware of potential longevity problems they will not do long term testing.
The government is aware of the potential longevity problems of LED light bulbs.
From the Energy Star website:
http://www.energystar.gov/index.cfm?c=ssl.pr_why_es_com
Quote 1:
"After less than a year of use, a poorly designed LED product can flicker, shift in color, look dim, offer uneven light, or continue to use power when turned off, among other problems."
Quote 2:
"To qualify for ENERGY STAR, LED lighting products must pass a variety of tests to prove that the products will display the following characteristics:
Brightness is equal to or greater than existing lighting technologies (incandescent or fluorescent) and light is well distributed over the area lighted by the fixture.
Light output remains constant over time, only decreasing towards the end of the rated lifetime (at least 35,000 hours or 12 years based on use of 8 hours per day).
Excellent color quality. The shade of white light appears clear and consistent over time.
Efficiency is as good as or better than fluorescent lighting.
Light comes on instantly when turned on.
No flicker when dimmed.
No off-state power draw. The fixture does not use power when it is turned off, with the exception of external controls, whose power should not exceed 0.5 watts in the off state.
Bad design can lead to a wide range of problems, some immediately observable and some not. Poorly designed products often come with exaggerated claims while failing to deliver on the quality specifications above.
Choose ENERGY STAR quailified LED fixtures to ensure the products you purchase perform well."
That 35000 hour (~4 years) minimum runtime test is probably why we have not seen many (I have not seen any so far) Energy Star labels on LED light bulbs.