Coronavirus

[trailhunter]

Russia, n korea and iran are testing US response during these times.

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[turbodog]

A good time to reflect on that fact that more investment in green energy would have greatly reduced the market impact of oil's tumble, and that this reliance on an energy source in structural decline is a significant chink in the US' economic armor.



Watch Georgia.

Just wait... Mississippi probably will reopen Monday.

 

[turbodog]

Interesting. I see an issue with the thermal imaging component though. Using a thermal camera to look for fever without a black body calibration source is going to produce inaccurate readings. The difference between a normal temperature and a fever is only a few degrees, so the thermal imager has to be extremely accurate, and this is only practical when it can see a calibration source of known temperature (black body emitter) within it's field of view at the same time that it's looking at the human. That black body source will draw some significant current so I don't see it as being something that can be carried onboard the drone.

I'd say this is where AI comes into play. Yes, it's not lab calibrated, but you can compare to the rest of the people on the street and assign a probability. Much better than the other option which is _nothing_.

 

[turbodog]

For those that are looking to make some sense of the daily infection/death data rolling in, I've found the following to be quite useful.

I have been tracking the numbers each day since day 1 (in my state). I take a rolling 4 day range and calculate CAGR on it. Smooths things out a little, helps to see trends that you might miss. Gives you an accurate number to use for predicting the next several days.

Excel formula: =(H42/H38)^(1/4)-1

h38: day1
h42: day5

 

[turbodog]

The lab did make that virus able to jump from bats to humans. This is not a natural virus, it has been modified. That said, it is here to stay, and there is a country who is going to pay.



https://youtu.be/Le_rfTdayLs

Extraordinary claims require similar proof. Given you are referencing a youtube video, produced by a chinese media group, known for propaganda and conspiracy theories is not helping matters.

 

[Dave D]

World Covid19 visualiser.

https://www.covidvisualizer.com/?fb...BHrfGDKpl98O-tW5Limicpf5xLRm2hksV4RIyNkM1hCXs

Click on Country or Territory to see cases, deaths and recoveries.

 

[bykfixer]

Neato graphics Dave.

To be honest I only check every few days now. At first I'd be biting my nails "let this be the day of the peak, please", then it was check with dread "oh no we're passing Spain today", then I watched my state to see who we passed today "woohoo we're number 20"…… then I noticed a certain tension developing. Nervous tension.

I just tune away now a few days at time. I watch now more to see how the early countries are doing. Spain, Italy, Germany, UK etc. It was nice to hear Boris Johnson made it. Man of the people? While US leaders show up on tv in polished fashion the UK leader has ramshackled hair. I can't speak for Britains but I know a lot of suffering Americans would be feeling a little more at ease if their leaders didn't look so well polished during this crisis. Others might decide a polished leader exudes a certain amount of "it's going to be ok". I suppose each would have their own reason either way.

One thing is certain, this novel corona virus is sure teaching a lot of us just how fragile a life can be. Life as in here on earth, life as in a normal existence. To see a grocery store in America with empty shelves was shocking. Forget closed shopping malls and empty stadiums. This was a basic normal. Scarey. For many in the US it was scarey enough to panic buy. Yet for the most part no riots broke out over toilet paper or the last frozen pizza.

This time next year hopefully the recovered numbers will be 99:1 versus new cases.

 

[Cree XHP 70 LED]

Extraordinary claims require similar proof. Given you are referencing a youtube video, produced by a chinese media group, known for propaganda and conspiracy theories is not helping matters.

Chinese Americans headquartered out of New York. I am guessing you did not watch it, and if you did, you did not do your own post research like I did and found it to be true. I mean Dr. Shi is giving conferences in front of live audiences about her cross animal human barrier breakthroughs. Why would a Chinese news outlet say China was responsible? They clearly refute all responsibility for it as often as possible. Jailing and killing people who stand up and say the truth about what they did or saw.

 

[turbodog]

Chinese Americans headquartered out of New York. I am guessing you did not watch it, and if you did, you did not do your own post research like I did and found it to be true. I mean Dr. Shi is giving conferences in front of live audiences about her cross animal human barrier breakthroughs. Why would a Chinese news outlet say China was responsible? They clearly refute all responsibility for it as often as possible. Jailing and killing people who stand up and say the truth about what they did or saw.

I'm not going to get into a post war on CPF. As of now, it doesn't matter if this was a chinese engineered virus. We have to battle it regardless. Did it come from china (geographically)? Likely. Do viruses jump species frequently? Yes.

This was inevitable, regardless of country of origin, natural vs man-made, etc.

 

[Cree XHP 70 LED]

I'm not going to get into a post war on CPF. As of now, it doesn't matter if this was a chinese engineered virus. We have to battle it regardless. Did it come from china (geographically)? Likely. Do viruses jump species frequently? Yes.

This was inevitable, regardless of country of origin, natural vs man-made, etc.

Yes, I agree no post wars, they are pointless. Everyone has their own observations and facts and opinions and that is fine with me.

 

[Cree XHP 70 LED]

Russia, n korea and iran are testing US response during these times.

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I am just waiting for Iran to do it's little showboating again. Trump ordered the Navy to sink them the next time.

It was also funny when Trump said yesterday, we know more about Iran than Iran knows about Iran, and I am sure it is true.

 

[lion504]

According to New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo a recent coronavirus antibody study showed the statewide infection rate was 13.9 percent (or 2.7 million residents infected). So CFR for NY (so far) is 0.5%.

 

[StarHalo]

According to New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo a recent coronavirus antibody study showed the statewide infection rate was 13.9 percent (or 2.7 million residents infected). So CFR for NY (so far) is 0.5%.

According to New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo a recent coronavirus antibody study showed the infection rate of those tested was 21 percent (versus 263,460 confirmed cases). If the results of this 3,000 subject sample were extrapolated statewide, the number of infected would be over 2.6 million. So confirmed CFR for NY (so far) is 5.9%. Link to source.

 

[SCEMan]

According to New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo a recent coronavirus antibody study showed the statewide infection rate was 13.9 percent (or 2.7 million residents infected). So CFR for NY (so far) is 0.5%.

That is promising. It appears ongoing data from testing supports an earlier onset and larger infection pool with commensurate lower CFR.

 

[Johnnyh]

According to New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, those complaining about losing their Jobs should “go get a job as an essential worker...” So comforting in these trying times...! I’m getting scared...

 

[Devildude]

I hear you. Store shelves are spotty but hey we are New Yorkers, we will survive. If spring would ever arrive that would be good. My daffodils keep getting covered in snow. I am looking forward to doing some gardening as soon as the frost cycles stop.

 

[Johnnyh]

Oh man, me too...I went out and putted around in the garden and started putting a new carburetor on the rototiller...winter just won’t let go! But you’re right, we’ll get through it...we always do.

 

[lion504]

The VA study that panned benefits of hydroxychloroquine...
1 - not randomized. MDs selected patients based on severity
2 - HCQ *late* in disease vs early when antivirals provide most benefit
3 - No zinc

Also, not peer reviewed... yet.

4/22 Veterans Affairs’ Robert Wilkie on yesterday’s hydroxychloroquine study: "That’s an observational study. It’s not a clinical study ... We know the drug has been working on middle-age and younger veterans. And the gov of NY was just in the Oval Office yesterday asking for more"

 

[bykfixer]

So today it was discussed how solar rays murder the virus. It sounded like our surveilance department had their antrax thwarting team do studies in 5 gallon buckets to see how the virus does on plastic in conditions above the novel corona's favorite environment. Indoors at room temperature at low humidity.

Crank up the hum-didity, add sunshine and instant dead bad guys.

I got a visual while cooking dinner and listening to the presentation:
G-men go into a Home Depot and buy 25 plastic buckets. They stop buy a Walgreens parking lot and offer to pay someone just told they are covid positive $50 to spit in 5 gallon buckets. They drive the Ford Econoline van to a park with a playground. Seven other vans pull up with a bunch of G-men in tyvek suits covered by HSA coaches jacket and aviator shades under their space helmets.
So they drag out all kinds of high end surveilance gear, the buckets and have homie start spitting in buckets. Buckets are placed in the shade, in the sun and in between. High end gear records the covid in the spit dies in the sunshine. "Do it again" says one stormtrooper to the guy getting paid $50. He does. The gear shows virus gone in 3 seconds. "Awe cool man". "Holy crap that was awesome". "Do it again" rings out from behind the space helmets. That goes on for hours and homie is getting cotton mouth. "Hey, where's my $50, I'm getting thirsty"…… somewhere in America a fellow with cotton mouth who tested positive for covid earlier that day has not been seen for days. He was last seen being forced into a Ford Econoline van after spitting in orange 5 gallon buckets in a park with a playground in Somewhere USA.

They also discovered bleach works too. And rubbing alcohol. Nice.

 

[lion504]

Good post :laughing: